Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Sporting Cristal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 52% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✗68% · @1.22
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✗89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.87
Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Sporting Cristal take on UCV Moquegua on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo. Sporting Cristal are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while UCV Moquegua sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting Cristal's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Sport Boys 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UCV Moquegua's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Sport Boys 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting Cristal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Sporting Cristal and 0.8 for UCV Moquegua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.45 – 52% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting Cristal to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Cristal68%fair 1.47 · @1.22
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @5.50
UCV Moquegua11%fair 9.28 · @13.00
2.88Expected goals
2.13Sporting Cristal xG
0.75UCV Moquegua xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.1 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✗
68%
1.47
1.22
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.45 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.87
–
Form
Sporting Cristal – last 3
WWD
15 Mar
vs Sport Boys
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Carabobo FC
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and UCV Moquegua.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UCV Moquegua 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua?
Sporting Cristal vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
