Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau prediction & analysis
54%
Footrivo pick
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.62
4/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Atletico Grau to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 4.96
Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Alianza Atletico take on Atletico Grau on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 4: WDDD Most recently they beat Deportivo Garcilaso 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Grau's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with FBC Melgar 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Atletico arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.9 for Alianza Atletico and 0.6 for Atletico Grau. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Atletico Grau to win at 3.75 – 29% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 0–0 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico47%fair 2.13 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.88
Atletico Grau29%fair 3.43 · @3.75
1.50Expected goals
0.90Alianza Atletico xG
0.60Atletico Grau xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–020%
0–113%
1–112%
2–09%
2–15%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 0.9 – 0.6 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win
47%
2.13
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
20%
4.96
–
Form
Alianza Atletico – last 4
WDDD
4 Mar
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs ADT
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Cienciano
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Alianza Lima
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 5
DWLLL
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Grau 29%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 0–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau?
Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
