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Primera División · Peru · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Sat 4 Apr 2026

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys prediction & analysis

82%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win60% · @1.62
Double chanceDeportivo Garcilaso or draw84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019% · fair 5.31

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys preview and prediction

The match

Sport Boys travel to Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in the Primera División on Saturday 4 April (19:15 WAT) to face Deportivo Garcilaso. Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Sport Boys sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Deportivo Garcilaso's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Alianza Lima 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.

Sport Boys's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Sport Huancayo 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sport Boys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.6 for Sport Boys. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 Sport Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Deportivo Garcilaso60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Sport Boys16%fair 6.19 · @5.70
2.05Expected goals
1.46Deportivo Garcilaso xG
0.59Sport Boys xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.5 – 0.6 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Garcilaso to win60%1.671.62
Double chanceDeportivo Garcilaso or draw84%1.191.13
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score51%1.961.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals63%1.581.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals63%1.581.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals82%1.221.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–019%5.31–

Form

Deportivo Garcilaso – last 5

DLLLL
15 Marvs Alianza Lima1–1D
8 Mar@ Cusco0–1L
4 Mar@ Alianza Atletico0–2L
28 Febvs Cienciano2–3L
23 Feb@ UCV Moquegua0–1L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Sport Boys – last 6

WLLDLW
23 Marvs Sport Huancayo3–0W
15 Mar@ Sporting Cristal0–3L
9 Mar@ Cienciano1–3L
1 Marvs UCV Moquegua0–0D
21 Feb@ Alianza Lima0–1L
14 Febvs Atletico Grau1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Boys.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?

On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sport Boys 16%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys?

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.