FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas preview and prediction
The match
FBC Melgar host Club Deportivo Los Chankas in the Primera División on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 23:45 (WAT) at Estadio de la UNSA. FBC Melgar are 5th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for FBC Melgar and 0.7 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FBC Melgar 72%, draw 19%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FBC Melgar 2–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBC Melgar72%fair 1.40 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.33
Club Deportivo Los Chankas9%fair 10.68 · @6.80
2.85Expected goals
2.18FBC Melgar xG
0.67Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 2.2 – 0.7 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBC Melgar to win✗
72%
1.40
1.36
Double chance
FBC Melgar or draw✗
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Half-time result
FBC Melgar ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
FBC Melgar – last 1
W
16 Feb
vs UCV Moquegua
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Sport Huancayo
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBC Melgar and Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 9%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 2–0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
FBC Melgar vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la UNSA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
