Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✗66% · @1.80
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.40
Alianza Atletico vs ADT preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Alianza Atletico take on ADT on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while ADT sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Alianza Atletico and 0.4 for ADT. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Atletico to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–0 ADT. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico66%fair 1.52 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.00
ADT13%fair 7.66 · @4.60
1.84Expected goals
1.43Alianza Atletico xG
0.41ADT xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–016%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.4 – 0.4 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Atletico to win✗
66%
1.52
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Atletico or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.40
–
Form
Alianza Atletico – last 2
DD
22 Feb
@ Cienciano
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Alianza Lima
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
ADT – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and ADT.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
Our pick is Alianza Atletico to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ADT 13%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs ADT?
Alianza Atletico vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
