Value bet: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Deportivo Garcilaso take on Cienciano on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 02:15 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Cienciano sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.2 for Cienciano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Deportivo Garcilaso to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Cienciano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Garcilaso40%fair 2.49 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Cienciano35%fair 2.82 · @2.45
2.54Expected goals
1.32Deportivo Garcilaso xG
1.22Cienciano xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.3 – 1.2 Cienciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Garcilaso to win✗
40%
2.49
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.94
–
Form
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 1
L
23 Feb
@ UCV Moquegua
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cienciano – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Universitario
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Cienciano.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cienciano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Cienciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano?
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cienciano (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
