UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Lima to win48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.18
UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Lima travel to face UTC Cajamarca in the Primera División on Saturday 28 February (19:15 WAT). UTC Cajamarca are 18th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Alianza Lima sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for UTC Cajamarca and 1.4 for Alianza Lima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: UTC Cajamarca 29%, draw 22%, Alianza Lima 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Alianza Lima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UTC Cajamarca29%fair 3.40 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Alianza Lima48%fair 2.07 · @2.05
2.43Expected goals
1.02UTC Cajamarca xG
1.41Alianza Lima xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–09%
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.0 – 1.4 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win
48%
2.07
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.18
–
Form
UTC Cajamarca – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ ADT
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Cusco
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza Lima – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Sport Boys
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UTC Cajamarca and Alianza Lima.
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alianza Lima 48%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
Our predicted score is UTC Cajamarca 1–1 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?
UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
