Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res. prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Riestra Res. to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente Riva. Res. to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res. preview and prediction
The match
The Reserve League sees Independiente Riva. Res. take on Deportivo Riestra Res. on Thursday 7 May, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Independiente Riva. Res. are 19th with 21 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Riestra Res. sit 8th on 30 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Independiente Riva. Res.'s last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Belgrano Córdoba Res. 1–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Deportivo Riestra Res.'s last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Colón Res. 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Independiente Riva. Res. and 1.5 for Deportivo Riestra Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Deportivo Riestra Res. to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independiente Riva. Res. 1–1 Deportivo Riestra Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente Riva. Res.39%fair 2.55 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.90
Deportivo Riestra Res.34%fair 2.97 · @3.30
2.89Expected goals
1.43Independiente Riva. Res. xG
1.46Deportivo Riestra Res. xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Independiente Riva. Res. 1.4 – 1.5 Deportivo Riestra Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Independiente Riva. Res.
Deportivo Riestra Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
+16%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.69
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Riva. Res. to win✗
39%
2.55
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Riestra Res. / FT Deportivo Riestra Res.✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.03
–
Form
Independiente Riva. Res. – last 6
LWDLLD
29 Apr
@ Belgrano Córdoba Res.
1–4
L
23 Apr
@ Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1–0
W
14 Apr
vs Lanús Res.
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Newell's Old Boys Res.
0–2
L
31 Mar
vs Defensa y Justicia Res.
2–3
L
26 Mar
@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Riestra Res. – last 6
DLWLLD
30 Apr
vs Colón Res.
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Barracas Central Res.
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Belgrano Córdoba Res.
3–0
W
7 Apr
@ Lanús Res.
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Newell's Old Boys Res.
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Defensa y Justicia Res.
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Riva. Res. and Deportivo Riestra Res..
What is the prediction for Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
On our numbers Independiente Riva. Res. have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Riestra Res. 34%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
Our predicted score is Independiente Riva. Res. 1–1 Deportivo Riestra Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?
Independiente Riva. Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
