ResultEstudiantes La Plata Res to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.38
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res. preview and prediction
The match
Newell's Old Boys Res. travel to face Estudiantes La Plata Res in the Reserve League on Thursday 7 May (19:00 WAT). Estudiantes La Plata Res are 4th with 32 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Newell's Old Boys Res. sit 20th on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Estudiantes La Plata Res's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Defensa y Justicia Res. 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Newell's Old Boys Res.'s last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Central Córdoba SdE Res. 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newell's Old Boys Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Estudiantes La Plata Res and 1.0 for Newell's Old Boys Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes La Plata Res 44%, draw 26%, Newell's Old Boys Res. 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–1 Newell's Old Boys Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes La Plata Res44%fair 2.27 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Newell's Old Boys Res.30%fair 3.34 · @3.25
2.29Expected goals
1.34Estudiantes La Plata Res xG
0.95Newell's Old Boys Res. xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1.3 – 1.0 Newell's Old Boys Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Newell's Old Boys Res.
Attack vs Reserve League average
+41%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.58
1.03
Our own ratings from every Reserve League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes La Plata Res to win✗
44%
2.27
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes La Plata Res / FT Estudiantes La Plata Res✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.38
–
Form
Estudiantes La Plata Res – last 6
DWDLLL
28 Apr
@ Defensa y Justicia Res.
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Huracán Res.
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Ferro 2
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Boca Juniors Res.
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newell's Old Boys Res. – last 6
WDLWWW
28 Apr
vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Rosario Central Res.
3–3
D
14 Apr
@ San Martín San Juan Res.
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Independiente Riva. Res.
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra Res.
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Belgrano Córdoba Res.
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes La Plata Res and Newell's Old Boys Res..
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
On our numbers Estudiantes La Plata Res have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Newell's Old Boys Res. 30%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–1 Newell's Old Boys Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res.?
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Newell's Old Boys Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
