Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res. prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
River Plate Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiver Plate Res. to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceRiver Plate Res. or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.27
Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res. preview and prediction
The match
River Plate Res. travel to face Sarmiento Res. in the Reserve League on Tuesday 28 April (19:00 WAT). Sarmiento Res. are 15th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while River Plate Res. sit 7th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sarmiento Res.'s last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Atl. Rafaela 2 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
River Plate Res.'s last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Boca Juniors Res. 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Sarmiento Res. and 1.4 for River Plate Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: River Plate Res. or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was River Plate Res. or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sarmiento Res. 0–1 River Plate Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Res.17%fair 5.86 · @4.00
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.30
River Plate Res.58%fair 1.73 · @1.73
2.00Expected goals
0.60Sarmiento Res. xG
1.40River Plate Res. xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–014%
0–213%
1–111%
1–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Res. 0.6 – 1.4 River Plate Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate Res. to win✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Double chance
River Plate Res. or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate Res. / FT River Plate Res.✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.27
–
Form
Sarmiento Res. – last 6
WDDLLW
22 Apr
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Racing Club Res.
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Instituto Res.
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–1
L
25 Mar
@ Aldosivi Res.
0–3
L
17 Mar
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
River Plate Res. – last 6
LDWLDW
23 Apr
@ Boca Juniors Res.
0–2
L
16 Apr
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Aldosivi Res.
2–0
W
2 Apr
vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Unión Santa Fe Res.
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Atlético Tucumán Res.
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Res. and River Plate Res..
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our pick is River Plate Res. or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
On our numbers Sarmiento Res. have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and River Plate Res. 58%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Res. 0–1 River Plate Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res.?
Sarmiento Res. vs River Plate Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
