Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Tigre Res. prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia La Plata Res. to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceGimnasia La Plata Res. or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.92
Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Tigre Res. preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia La Plata Res. host Tigre Res. in the Reserve League on Tuesday 28 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 26th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Tigre Res. sit 32nd on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gimnasia La Plata Res.'s last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Estudiantes La Plata Res 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tigre Res.'s last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Defensa y Justicia Res. 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Gimnasia La Plata Res. and 0.5 for Tigre Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Safer route: Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1–0 Tigre Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia La Plata Res.64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.00
Tigre Res.14%fair 7.13 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.50Gimnasia La Plata Res. xG
0.50Tigre Res. xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1.5 – 0.5 Tigre Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win✗
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia La Plata Res. / FT Gimnasia La Plata Res.✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.92
–
Form
Gimnasia La Plata Res. – last 6
LWLWLL
22 Apr
@ Estudiantes La Plata Res
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ San Lorenzo Res.
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Vélez Sársfield Res.
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ River Plate Res.
3–0
W
25 Mar
vs Racing Club Res.
2–3
L
17 Mar
@ Sarmiento Res.
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tigre Res. – last 6
LDDWLD
21 Apr
vs Defensa y Justicia Res.
0–1
L
14 Apr
vs Unión Santa Fe Res.
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Atlético Tucumán Res.
2–2
D
1 Apr
vs Godoy Cruz Res.
2–0
W
26 Mar
@ Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Barracas Central Res.
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia La Plata Res. and Tigre Res..
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our pick is Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Tigre Res.?
On our numbers Gimnasia La Plata Res. have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tigre Res. 14%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Tigre Res.?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1–0 Tigre Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Gimnasia La Plata Res. vs Tigre Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
