Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res. prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Vélez Sársfield Res. to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVélez Sársfield Res. to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.56
Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res. preview and prediction
The match
Ferro 2 host Vélez Sársfield Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Ferro 2 are 36th with 8 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Vélez Sársfield Res. sit 3rd on 33 points (in the top four). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ferro 2's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Platense Res. 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Vélez Sársfield Res.'s last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Aldosivi Res. 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vélez Sársfield Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Ferro 2 and 1.9 for Vélez Sársfield Res.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vélez Sársfield Res. to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ferro 2 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferro 214%fair 7.04 · @5.00
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.25
Vélez Sársfield Res.65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
2.61Expected goals
0.72Ferro 2 xG
1.89Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ferro 2 0.7 – 1.9 Vélez Sársfield Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vélez Sársfield Res. to win✓
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Vélez Sársfield Res. or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Vélez Sársfield Res. ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res.✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.56
–
Form
Ferro 2 – last 6
DLWWLD
15 Apr
@ Platense Res.
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Quilmes 2
0–2
L
1 Apr
@ Estudiantes La Plata Res
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ San Martín San Juan Res.
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs Independiente Riva. Res.
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vélez Sársfield Res. – last 6
WWWWWL
15 Apr
vs Aldosivi Res.
4–0
W
8 Apr
@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Unión Santa Fe Res.
4–0
W
27 Mar
@ Atlético Tucumán Res.
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz Res.
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Gimnasia Mendoza 2
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro 2 and Vélez Sársfield Res..
What is the prediction for Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Our pick is Vélez Sársfield Res. to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
On our numbers Ferro 2 have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vélez Sársfield Res. 65%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Our predicted score is Ferro 2 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?
Ferro 2 vs Vélez Sársfield Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
