Value bet: Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes La Plata Res to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.25
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. preview and prediction
The match
The Reserve League sees Estudiantes La Plata Res take on Gimnasia La Plata Res. on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Estudiantes La Plata Res are 4th with 32 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Gimnasia La Plata Res. sit 26th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Estudiantes La Plata Res's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Gimnasia La Plata Res.'s last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat San Lorenzo Res. 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gimnasia La Plata Res. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Estudiantes La Plata Res and 0.8 for Gimnasia La Plata Res.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes La Plata Res 44%, draw 24%, Gimnasia La Plata Res. 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Gimnasia La Plata Res. to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–1 Gimnasia La Plata Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes La Plata Res44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.80
Gimnasia La Plata Res.32%fair 3.10 · @3.40
1.89Expected goals
1.05Estudiantes La Plata Res xG
0.84Gimnasia La Plata Res. xG
51%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1.1 – 0.8 Gimnasia La Plata Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes La Plata Res to win✓
44%
2.28
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.25
–
Form
Estudiantes La Plata Res – last 6
DLLLWL
17 Apr
vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Huracán Res.
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Ferro 2
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Boca Juniors Res.
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Independiente Res.
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata Res. – last 6
WLWLLD
14 Apr
@ San Lorenzo Res.
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Vélez Sársfield Res.
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ River Plate Res.
3–0
W
25 Mar
vs Racing Club Res.
2–3
L
17 Mar
@ Sarmiento Res.
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs Argentinos Juniors Res.
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes La Plata Res and Gimnasia La Plata Res..
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
On our numbers Estudiantes La Plata Res have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia La Plata Res. 32%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–1 Gimnasia La Plata Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Gimnasia La Plata Res.?
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Gimnasia La Plata Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
