Maharlika host Davao Aguilas in the PFL on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 10:45 (WAT). Maharlika are 1st with 39 points from 24 games, while Davao Aguilas sit 5th on 40 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Maharlika's last 4: DLWD Most recently they drew with Philippine Army 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Davao Aguilas's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Tuloy 7–2 away. They are scoring freely – 5.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Davao Aguilas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.0 for Maharlika and 2.7 for Davao Aguilas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maharlika 1–2 Davao Aguilas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maharlika9%fair 10.70 · @11.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @6.50
Davao Aguilas70%fair 1.43 · @1.17
3.77Expected goals
1.05Maharlika xG
2.72Davao Aguilas xG
56%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–17%
0–16%
From our goals model: Maharlika 1.0 – 2.7 Davao Aguilas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Davao Aguilas to win
70%
1.43
1.17
Double chance
Davao Aguilas or draw
91%
1.10
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.77
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Davao Aguilas ahead at half-time
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Davao Aguilas / FT Davao Aguilas
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.17
–
Form
Maharlika – last 4
DLWD
7 Mar
@ Philippine Army
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Dynamic Herb Cebu
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ Mendiola
4–2
W
15 Feb
@ Stallion
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Davao Aguilas – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
@ Tuloy
7–2
W
1 Mar
vs Mendiola
5–0
W
22 Feb
@ Garelli United
3–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maharlika and Davao Aguilas.
What is the prediction for Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
On our numbers Maharlika have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Davao Aguilas 70%.
How many goals will there be in Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
Our predicted score is Maharlika 1–2 Davao Aguilas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas?
Maharlika vs Davao Aguilas (PFL) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 10:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
