Philippine Army vs Garelli United preview and prediction
The match
The PFL sees Philippine Army take on Garelli United on Wednesday 11 March, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at Rizal Memorial Stadium. Philippine Army are 5th with 2 points from 24 games, while Garelli United sit 2nd on 22 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Philippine Army's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Maharlika 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Garelli United's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Mendiola 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.7 goals: 2.8 for Philippine Army and 2.9 for Garelli United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 93% and both teams to score at 75%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Philippine Army 37%, draw 21%, Garelli United 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (75%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 75% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Philippine Army 2–2 Garelli United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Philippine Army37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.80
Garelli United42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
5.74Expected goals
2.80Philippine Army xG
2.94Garelli United xG
75%Both score
93%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–25%
2–35%
3–25%
3–35%
2–44%
1–24%
From our goals model: Philippine Army 2.8 – 2.9 Garelli United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Garelli United to win✓
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Garelli United ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Garelli United / FT Garelli United✓
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–3✗
5%
18.73
–
Form
Philippine Army – last 3
DDL
7 Mar
vs Maharlika
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Tuloy
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Stallion
1–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Garelli United – last 5
WLLLL
7 Mar
vs Mendiola
4–0
W
28 Feb
@ Stallion
0–4
L
25 Feb
@ Manila Digger
1–6
L
22 Feb
vs Davao Aguilas
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Taguig
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philippine Army and Garelli United.
What is the prediction for Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
On our numbers Philippine Army have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Garelli United 42%.
How many goals will there be in Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
We expect about 5.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 93% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
Our predicted score is Philippine Army 2–2 Garelli United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.7 goals in total.
When is Philippine Army vs Garelli United?
Philippine Army vs Garelli United (PFL) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Rizal Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
