Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82
Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira preview and prediction
The match
Internacional Palmira travel to Estadio Sierra Nevada in the Primera B on Monday 13 April (22:00 WAT) to face Union Magdalena. Union Magdalena are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Internacional Palmira sit 14th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Magdalena's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Envigado 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Internacional Palmira's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Orsomarso 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Union Magdalena and 0.9 for Internacional Palmira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Magdalena 56%, draw 25%, Internacional Palmira 19%.
Safer route: Union Magdalena or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Union Magdalena 1–0 Internacional Palmira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Magdalena56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.10
Internacional Palmira19%fair 5.33 · @3.90
2.59Expected goals
1.70Union Magdalena xG
0.89Internacional Palmira xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.7 – 0.9 Internacional Palmira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Magdalena to win✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Union Magdalena or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.82
–
Form
Union Magdalena – last 6
WWWLWD
9 Apr
vs Envigado
4–2
W
30 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Real Santander
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Patriotas
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Real Soacha
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Internacional Palmira – last 6
WWWWDD
31 Mar
@ Orsomarso
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Tigres FC
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Leones FC
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Ind. Yumbo
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
2–2
D
5 Mar
@ Real Soacha
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Internacional Palmira.
What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Internacional Palmira 19%.
How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Internacional Palmira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira?
Union Magdalena vs Internacional Palmira (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sierra Nevada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
