Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Orsomarso to win @ 3.55 – our chance 37% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBogota FC to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.08
Bogota FC vs Orsomarso preview and prediction
The match
Bogota FC host Orsomarso in the Primera B on Monday 13 April, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Bogota FC are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Orsomarso sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bogota FC's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Real Soacha 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Orsomarso's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Internacional Palmira 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Bogota FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Bogota FC and 1.1 for Orsomarso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bogota FC 39%, draw 24%, Orsomarso 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Orsomarso to win at 3.55 – 37% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bogota FC 1–1 Orsomarso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bogota FC39%fair 2.57 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Orsomarso37%fair 2.72 · @3.55
2.21Expected goals
1.13Bogota FC xG
1.08Orsomarso xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.1 – 1.1 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bogota FC to win✓
39%
2.57
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bogota FC / FT Bogota FC✓
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.08
–
Form
Bogota FC – last 6
DWLDLD
1 Apr
vs Real Soacha
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Envigado
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Quindio
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Barranquilla
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Tigres FC
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Orsomarso – last 6
LDDLLD
31 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Quindio
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Depor FC
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Real Soacha
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Popayan
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Orsomarso.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orsomarso 37%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–1 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Orsomarso?
Bogota FC vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
