Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceReal Cartagena or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.96
Popayan vs Real Cartagena preview and prediction
The match
Popayan host Real Cartagena in the Primera B on Friday 27 March, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). Popayan are 2nd with 7 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Real Cartagena sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Popayan's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Real Santander 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Real Cartagena's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Union Magdalena 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Real Cartagena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Popayan and 1.7 for Real Cartagena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Popayan 16%, draw 23%, Real Cartagena 60%.
Safer route: Real Cartagena or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Popayan 0–1 Real Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Popayan16%fair 6.11 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.35
Real Cartagena60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
2.48Expected goals
0.76Popayan xG
1.72Real Cartagena xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Popayan 0.8 – 1.7 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cartagena to win✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Double chance
Real Cartagena or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.96
–
Form
Popayan – last 5
DLLLD
10 Mar
@ Real Santander
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Envigado
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Barranquilla
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Bogota FC
1–2
L
18 Feb
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Real Cartagena – last 6
WDDWDL
23 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Envigado
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Orsomarso
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Tigres FC
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Leones FC
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Popayan and Real Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Popayan have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Cartagena 60%.
How many goals will there be in Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Popayan 0–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Popayan vs Real Cartagena?
Popayan vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
