Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultQuindio to win ✗59% · @1.60
Double chanceQuindio or draw ✓84% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
Quindio vs Orsomarso preview and prediction
The match
Orsomarso travel to Estadio Centenario in the Primera B on Friday 27 March (01:00 WAT) to face Quindio. Quindio are 1st with 6 points from 3 games (top of the table), while Orsomarso sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Quindio's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Bogota FC 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Orsomarso's last 4: DLLD Most recently they drew with Depor FC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Quindio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Quindio and 0.6 for Orsomarso. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Quindio 1–0 Orsomarso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Quindio59%fair 1.68 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.45
Orsomarso16%fair 6.37 · @5.40
2.06Expected goals
1.47Quindio xG
0.59Orsomarso xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Quindio 1.5 – 0.6 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quindio to win✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Double chance
Quindio or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quindio / FT Quindio✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.35
–
Form
Quindio – last 6
WDDWWW
20 Mar
@ Bogota FC
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Real Soacha
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Patriotas
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Real Santander
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Envigado
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Barranquilla
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Orsomarso – last 4
DLLD
11 Mar
@ Depor FC
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Real Cartagena
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Real Soacha
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Popayan
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quindio and Orsomarso.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Quindio vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Quindio have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Orsomarso 16%.
How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Quindio 1–0 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Quindio vs Orsomarso?
Quindio vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
