Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarranquilla to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Barranquilla vs Bogota FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Barranquilla take on Bogota FC on Monday 16 March, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Romelio Martinez. Barranquilla are 15th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Bogota FC sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Barranquilla's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Ind. Yumbo 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bogota FC's last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to Tigres FC 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Bogota FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Barranquilla and 1.0 for Bogota FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barranquilla 38%, draw 29%, Bogota FC 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Barranquilla 1–0 Bogota FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barranquilla38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.10
Bogota FC33%fair 3.03 · @3.10
2.12Expected goals
1.13Barranquilla xG
0.99Bogota FC xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Barranquilla 1.1 – 1.0 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Barranquilla
Bogota FC
Attack vs Primera B average
+4%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.08
0.93
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barranquilla to win✗
38%
2.62
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barranquilla / FT Barranquilla✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Barranquilla – last 4
LLWL
12 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Union Magdalena
1–3
L
26 Feb
@ Popayan
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Quindio
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Bogota FC – last 4
LDWW
11 Mar
vs Tigres FC
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Depor FC
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Popayan
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barranquilla and Bogota FC.
What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Barranquilla have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Bogota FC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Barranquilla 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Barranquilla vs Bogota FC?
Barranquilla vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
