The Primera B sees Envigado take on Real Cartagena on Monday 16 March, kicking off at 22:05 (WAT) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur. Envigado are 1st with 7 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Real Cartagena sit 3rd on 5 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Envigado's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Leones FC 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Cartagena's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Internacional Palmira 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Envigado arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Envigado and 1.1 for Real Cartagena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Envigado 43%, draw 25%, Real Cartagena 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Envigado 1–1 Real Cartagena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Envigado43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Real Cartagena31%fair 3.20 · @3.20
2.41Expected goals
1.35Envigado xG
1.05Real Cartagena xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Envigado 1.4 – 1.1 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Envigado
Real Cartagena
Attack vs Primera B average
+15%
+45%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.46
1.09
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Envigado to win✗
43%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Envigado / FT Envigado✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
Envigado – last 3
WWL
11 Mar
@ Leones FC
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Popayan
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs Quindio
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Cartagena – last 4
DWDL
11 Mar
vs Internacional Palmira
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Orsomarso
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Tigres FC
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Leones FC
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Envigado and Real Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Envigado have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Cartagena 31%.
How many goals will there be in Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Envigado 1–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Envigado vs Real Cartagena?
Envigado vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
