Value bet: Ind. Yumbo to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInd. Yumbo to win ✓42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo preview and prediction
The match
Leones FC host Ind. Yumbo in the Primera B on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. Leones FC are 16th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Ind. Yumbo sit 4th on 2 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Leones FC and 1.3 for Ind. Yumbo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leones FC 34%, draw 24%, Ind. Yumbo 42%.
Value angle: Ind. Yumbo to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Leones FC 1–1 Ind. Yumbo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones FC34%fair 2.93 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Ind. Yumbo42%fair 2.41 · @2.60
2.40Expected goals
1.12Leones FC xG
1.28Ind. Yumbo xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Leones FC 1.1 – 1.3 Ind. Yumbo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ind. Yumbo to win✓
42%
2.41
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ind. Yumbo / FT Ind. Yumbo✓
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.62
–
Form
Leones FC – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Real Cartagena
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ind. Yumbo – last 2
DW
24 Feb
vs Real Santander
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Tigres FC
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones FC and Ind. Yumbo.
What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ind. Yumbo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–1 Ind. Yumbo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo?
Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
