Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBogota FC to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.77
Bogota FC vs Depor FC preview and prediction
The match
Depor FC travel to Estadio Metropolitano de Techo in the Primera B on Friday 27 February (21:00 WAT) to face Bogota FC. Bogota FC are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Depor FC sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Bogota FC and 0.6 for Depor FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bogota FC 62%, draw 25%, Depor FC 13%.
Safer route: Bogota FC or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Bogota FC to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bogota FC or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bogota FC 1–0 Depor FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bogota FC62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Depor FC13%fair 7.68 · @3.70
2.25Expected goals
1.64Bogota FC xG
0.61Depor FC xG
41%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.6 – 0.6 Depor FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bogota FC to win✓
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Bogota FC or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bogota FC / FT Bogota FC✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.77
–
Form
Bogota FC – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Popayan
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Depor FC – last 1
D
20 Feb
vs Patriotas
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Depor FC.
Our pick is Bogota FC or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Depor FC?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Depor FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Depor FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Depor FC?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–0 Depor FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Depor FC?
Bogota FC vs Depor FC (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
