Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Real Soacha to win @ 1.87 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Soacha to win ✓59% · @1.87
Double chanceReal Soacha or draw ✓86% · @1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.13
Real Soacha vs Orsomarso preview and prediction
The match
Orsomarso travel to Parque Estadio Olaya Herrera in the Primera B on Sunday 22 February (21:00 WAT) to face Real Soacha. Real Soacha are 4th with 1 points from 3 games (in the top four), while Orsomarso sit 13th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Real Soacha and 0.6 for Orsomarso. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Soacha 59%, draw 27%, Orsomarso 14%.
Safer route: Real Soacha or draw (86%) at 1.21.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Real Soacha to win at 1.87 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Soacha or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.21, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Soacha 1–0 Orsomarso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Soacha59%fair 1.69 · @1.87
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.95
Orsomarso14%fair 7.13 · @4.00
2.01Expected goals
1.45Real Soacha xG
0.56Orsomarso xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Real Soacha 1.5 – 0.6 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Soacha to win✓
59%
1.69
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Real Soacha or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.21
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.52
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Soacha / FT Real Soacha✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.13
–
Form
Real Soacha
No recent results on record.
Orsomarso – last 1
D
18 Feb
@ Popayan
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Soacha and Orsomarso.
What is the prediction for Real Soacha vs Orsomarso?
Our pick is Real Soacha or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Real Soacha vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Real Soacha have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Orsomarso 14%.
How many goals will there be in Real Soacha vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Soacha vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Real Soacha 1–0 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Real Soacha vs Orsomarso?
Real Soacha vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Estadio Olaya Herrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
