Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.51 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.51Odds
2
Value bet: Popayan to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBogota FC to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Bogota FC vs Popayan preview and prediction
The match
Bogota FC host Popayan in the Primera B on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Bogota FC are 10th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Popayan sit 2nd on 7 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Bogota FC and 0.9 for Popayan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bogota FC 44%, draw 23%, Popayan 34%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.66.
Value angle: Popayan to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.51. Predicted score: Bogota FC 1–0 Popayan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bogota FC44%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @2.95
Popayan34%fair 2.96 · @3.50
2.03Expected goals
1.11Bogota FC xG
0.92Popayan xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.1 – 0.9 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bogota FC to win✓
44%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bogota FC / FT Bogota FC✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.85
–
Form
Bogota FC
No recent results on record.
Popayan – last 1
D
18 Feb
vs Orsomarso
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Popayan.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Popayan?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Popayan 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Popayan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Popayan?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–0 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Popayan?
Bogota FC vs Popayan (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
