Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.45 – our chance 51% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultScotland to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceScotland or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.09
Scotland vs Curaçao preview and prediction
The match
Scotland host Curaçao in the Friendlies on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Hampden Park.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Scotland and 0.5 for Curaçao. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 51% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Scotland 67%, draw 20%, Curaçao 13%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.45 – 51% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Scotland 1–0 Curaçao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Scotland67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @5.20
Curaçao13%fair 7.73 · @9.50
2.10Expected goals
1.61Scotland xG
0.49Curaçao xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–016%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Scotland 1.6 – 0.5 Curaçao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scotland to win✓
67%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
Scotland or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
2.45 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.53 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scotland / FT Scotland✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.09
–
Form
Scotland – last 1
L
31 Mar
vs Ivory Coast
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Curaçao – last 2
LL
31 Mar
@ Australia
1–5
L
27 Mar
@ China
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scotland and Curaçao.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Scotland vs Curaçao?
On our numbers Scotland have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Curaçao 13%.
How many goals will there be in Scotland vs Curaçao?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Curaçao?
Our predicted score is Scotland 1–0 Curaçao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Scotland vs Curaçao?
Scotland vs Curaçao (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hampden Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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