Croatia U21 vs Greece U21 prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Croatia U21 to win @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Croatia U21 2.0 – 0.9 Greece U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Croatia U21 are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 15% for Greece U21.
Croatia U21 have taken 3 points from their last 1 matches (1W 0D 0L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.0 per game. Greece U21 have 3 points from their last 3 (1W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Croatia U21 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Croatia U21, 0.9 for Greece U21). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Croatia U21 to win at 1.70 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Croatia U21 to win ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Croatia U21 or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.35 |
| Half-time result | Croatia U21 ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Croatia U21 / FT Croatia U21 ✗ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.86 | – |
Form
Croatia U21 – last 1
| 31 Mar | vs Turkey U21 | 3–0 | W |
Greece U21 – last 3
| 27 May | vs Qatar U20 | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Germany U21 | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Malta U21 | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Croatia U21 and Greece U21.
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Curaçao1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Croatia U21 vs Greece U21?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Croatia U21 vs Greece U21?
On our numbers Croatia U21 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Greece U21 15%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia U21 vs Greece U21?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Croatia U21 vs Greece U21?
Croatia U21 vs Greece U21 (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.