San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
San Marcos de Arica to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.73
San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido preview and prediction
The match
Curico Unido travel to Estadio Carlos Dittborn in the Primera B on Sunday 13 September (19:00 WAT) to face San Marcos de Arica. San Marcos de Arica are 6th with 43 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Curico Unido sit 13th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Recoleta 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Curico Unido's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Union Espanola 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Curico Unido arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Curico Unido 2–2 San Marcos de Arica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for San Marcos de Arica and 0.6 for Curico Unido. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Marcos de Arica 64%, draw 22%, Curico Unido 14%.
Safer route: San Marcos de Arica or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Marcos de Arica to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Curico Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Marcos de Arica64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Curico Unido14%fair 7.12 · @4.75
2.25Expected goals
1.65San Marcos de Arica xG
0.60Curico Unido xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.7 – 0.6 Curico Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido?
Our pick is San Marcos de Arica to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Curico Unido 14%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Curico Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido?
San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
