Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Magallanes or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Magallanes to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMagallanes to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceMagallanes or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.43
Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Magallanes take on D. Puerto Montt on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Estadio Santiago Bueras. Magallanes are 5th with 46 points from 29 games (in the top half), while D. Puerto Montt sit 11th on 38 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Magallanes's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Deportes Copiapo 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
D. Puerto Montt's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Rangers de Talca 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Magallanes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished D. Puerto Montt 2–0 Magallanes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Magallanes and 0.9 for D. Puerto Montt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Magallanes 61%, draw 20%, D. Puerto Montt 19%.
Safer route: Magallanes or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Magallanes to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Magallanes or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Magallanes 1–0 D. Puerto Montt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Magallanes61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.20
D. Puerto Montt19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.86Magallanes xG
0.89D. Puerto Montt xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Magallanes 1.9 – 0.9 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our pick is Magallanes or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?
On our numbers Magallanes have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and D. Puerto Montt 19%.
How many goals will there be in Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our predicted score is Magallanes 1–0 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt?
Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santiago Bueras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.