Magallanes vs Union San Felipe prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Magallanes or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMagallanes to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceMagallanes or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.54
Magallanes vs Union San Felipe preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Magallanes take on Union San Felipe on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Santiago Bueras. Magallanes are 5th with 46 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Union San Felipe sit 15th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Magallanes's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Santiago Wanderers 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Union San Felipe's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Deportes Santa Cruz 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Magallanes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Magallanes and 1.0 for Union San Felipe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Magallanes 57%, draw 24%, Union San Felipe 19%.
Safer route: Magallanes or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Magallanes or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Magallanes 1–1 Union San Felipe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Magallanes57%fair 1.74 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.25
Union San Felipe19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
2.89Expected goals
1.89Magallanes xG
1.00Union San Felipe xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Magallanes 1.9 – 1.0 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Magallanes to win✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Double chance
Magallanes or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Magallanes ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Magallanes / FT Magallanes✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.54
–
Form
Magallanes – last 6
LWWDWW
29 Aug
@ Santiago Wanderers
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
12 Aug
vs Cobreloa
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Deportes Temuco
4–3
W
2 Aug
vs Union Espanola
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Union San Felipe – last 6
DLLWDL
29 Aug
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Curico Unido
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Cobreloa
0–1
L
13 Aug
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Recoleta
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Universidad de Chile
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Magallanes and Union San Felipe.
What is the prediction for Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is Magallanes or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers Magallanes have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union San Felipe 19%.
How many goals will there be in Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is Magallanes 1–1 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Magallanes vs Union San Felipe?
Magallanes vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santiago Bueras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
