Value bet: Curico Unido to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultD. Puerto Montt to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido preview and prediction
The match
D. Puerto Montt host Curico Unido in the Primera B on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue. D. Puerto Montt are 11th with 38 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while Curico Unido sit 13th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
D. Puerto Montt's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Deportes Temuco 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Curico Unido's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Recoleta 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Curico Unido 2–1 D. Puerto Montt.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for D. Puerto Montt and 1.1 for Curico Unido. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. Puerto Montt 39%, draw 26%, Curico Unido 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Curico Unido to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: D. Puerto Montt 1–1 Curico Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. Puerto Montt39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Curico Unido36%fair 2.82 · @3.25
2.32Expected goals
1.20D. Puerto Montt xG
1.12Curico Unido xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: D. Puerto Montt 1.2 – 1.1 Curico Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido?
On our numbers D. Puerto Montt have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Curico Unido 36%.
How many goals will there be in D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido?
Our predicted score is D. Puerto Montt 1–1 Curico Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido?
D. Puerto Montt vs Curico Unido (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
