Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica preview and prediction
The match
San Marcos de Arica travel to Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK in the Primera B on Sunday 16 August (01:00 WAT) to face Union Espanola. Union Espanola are 9th with 39 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while San Marcos de Arica sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Union Espanola's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat D. Puerto Montt 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Union San Felipe 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Union Espanola and 1.2 for San Marcos de Arica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Espanola 40%, draw 23%, San Marcos de Arica 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Union Espanola 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Espanola40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.35
San Marcos de Arica37%fair 2.72 · @2.80
2.51Expected goals
1.29Union Espanola xG
1.22San Marcos de Arica xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Union Espanola 1.3 – 1.2 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Espanola to win✓
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Espanola / FT Union Espanola✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.50
–
Form
Union Espanola – last 6
WLLWLL
12 Aug
@ D. Puerto Montt
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Antofagasta
0–3
L
2 Aug
@ Magallanes
2–3
L
28 Jul
vs Recoleta
2–1
W
5 Jul
vs O'Higgins
1–2
L
30 Jun
vs Colo Colo
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
LDLDWL
13 Aug
vs Union San Felipe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Santiago Wanderers
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Coquimbo Unido
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Deportes Iquique
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Magallanes
2–0
W
6 Jul
@ Deportes Limache
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Espanola and San Marcos de Arica.
What is the prediction for Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Union Espanola have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Marcos de Arica 37%.
How many goals will there be in Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Union Espanola 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica?
Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
