Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa preview and prediction
The match
Union San Felipe host Cobreloa in the Primera B on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe. Union San Felipe are 15th with 23 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while Cobreloa sit 1st on 54 points (top of the table). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union San Felipe's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat San Marcos de Arica 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Cobreloa's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Magallanes 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Cobreloa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Union San Felipe and 1.4 for Cobreloa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union San Felipe 34%, draw 22%, Cobreloa 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Union San Felipe 1–1 Cobreloa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union San Felipe34%fair 2.92 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Cobreloa44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
2.66Expected goals
1.23Union San Felipe xG
1.44Cobreloa xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.2 – 1.4 Cobreloa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobreloa to win✓
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobreloa / FT Cobreloa✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.00
–
Form
Union San Felipe – last 6
WDLLLD
13 Aug
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Recoleta
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Universidad de Chile
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Antofagasta
1–5
L
25 Jul
@ Santiago Wanderers
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Union La Calera
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cobreloa – last 6
DDDWWD
12 Aug
@ Magallanes
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Deportes Iquique
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Curico Unido
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
4–2
W
12 Jul
vs D. La Serena
1–0
W
5 Jul
@ Cobresal
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union San Felipe and Cobreloa.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cobreloa 44%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 Cobreloa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa?
Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
