Double chanceSan Marcos de Arica or draw ✗91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees San Marcos de Arica take on Union San Felipe on Thursday 13 August, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn. San Marcos de Arica are 6th with 43 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Union San Felipe sit 15th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Santiago Wanderers 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Union San Felipe's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Recoleta 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
San Marcos de Arica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 March 2026, finished Union San Felipe 1–1 San Marcos de Arica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for San Marcos de Arica and 0.6 for Union San Felipe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Marcos de Arica 69%, draw 22%, Union San Felipe 9%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Union San Felipe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Marcos de Arica69%fair 1.45 · @1.45
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.90
Union San Felipe9%fair 11.07 · @6.50
2.47Expected goals
1.91San Marcos de Arica xG
0.56Union San Felipe xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.9 – 0.6 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union San Felipe 9%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe?
San Marcos de Arica vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
