Value bet: Antofagasta to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntofagasta to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceAntofagasta or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Santiago Wanderers travel to Estadio Regional de Antofagasta in the Primera B on Thursday 13 August (01:30 WAT) to face Antofagasta. Antofagasta are 4th with 48 points from 29 games (in the top four), while Santiago Wanderers sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Antofagasta's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Union Espanola 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santiago Wanderers's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with San Marcos de Arica 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Antofagasta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Santiago Wanderers 2–2 Antofagasta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Antofagasta and 0.8 for Santiago Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Antofagasta 66%, draw 20%, Santiago Wanderers 15%.
Safer route: Antofagasta or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Antofagasta to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Antofagasta 2–0 Santiago Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antofagasta66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.60
Santiago Wanderers15%fair 6.74 · @4.00
2.87Expected goals
2.04Antofagasta xG
0.84Santiago Wanderers xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Antofagasta 2.0 – 0.8 Santiago Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers?
On our numbers Antofagasta have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Santiago Wanderers 15%.
How many goals will there be in Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Antofagasta 2–0 Santiago Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers?
Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Antofagasta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
