Value bet: San Luis to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Luis to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Recoleta vs San Luis preview and prediction
The match
San Luis travel to face Recoleta in the Primera B on Saturday 30 May (17:30 WAT). Recoleta are 7th with 42 points from 29 games (in the top half), while San Luis sit 2nd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Recoleta's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Cobreloa 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
San Luis's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Magallanes 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
San Luis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Recoleta and 1.5 for San Luis. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Recoleta 38%, draw 23%, San Luis 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.70.
Value angle: San Luis to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Recoleta 1–1 San Luis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Recoleta38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
San Luis39%fair 2.58 · @2.90
3.03Expected goals
1.51Recoleta xG
1.52San Luis xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.5 – 1.5 San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Luis to win✗
39%
2.58
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Luis / FT San Luis✗
22%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
Recoleta – last 6
DLLWWW
21 May
vs Cobreloa
2–2
D
5 May
@ San Marcos de Arica
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–5
L
13 Mar
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Luis – last 6
WWWWDD
25 May
vs Magallanes
2–1
W
17 May
vs D. Puerto Montt
4–1
W
4 May
vs Union San Felipe
4–0
W
30 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3–2
W
23 Mar
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recoleta and San Luis.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Recoleta vs San Luis?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Luis 39%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs San Luis?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs San Luis?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs San Luis?
Recoleta vs San Luis (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
