D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica preview and prediction
The match
San Marcos de Arica travel to Estadio Regional de Chinquihue in the Primera B on Sunday 24 May (20:00 WAT) to face D. Puerto Montt. D. Puerto Montt are 11th with 38 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while San Marcos de Arica sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
D. Puerto Montt's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to San Luis 1–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Antofagasta 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for D. Puerto Montt and 1.1 for San Marcos de Arica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. Puerto Montt 40%, draw 24%, San Marcos de Arica 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: D. Puerto Montt 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. Puerto Montt40%fair 2.53 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
San Marcos de Arica36%fair 2.75 · @2.90
2.33Expected goals
1.20D. Puerto Montt xG
1.13San Marcos de Arica xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: D. Puerto Montt 1.2 – 1.1 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. Puerto Montt to win✗
40%
2.53
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. Puerto Montt / FT D. Puerto Montt✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.60
–
Form
D. Puerto Montt – last 6
LWWLWD
17 May
@ San Luis
1–4
L
9 May
vs Magallanes
2–0
W
3 May
@ Rangers de Talca
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Curico Unido
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Deportes Temuco
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Deportes Iquique
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
DDWWDD
17 May
vs Antofagasta
1–1
D
12 May
@ Curico Unido
2–2
D
5 May
vs Recoleta
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
23 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Santiago Wanderers
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between D. Puerto Montt and San Marcos de Arica.
What is the prediction for D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers D. Puerto Montt have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Marcos de Arica 36%.
How many goals will there be in D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is D. Puerto Montt 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica?
D. Puerto Montt vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
