Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Antofagasta to win @ 1.64 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntofagasta to win ✗65% · @1.64
Double chanceAntofagasta or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.69
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Santa Cruz travel to Estadio Regional de Antofagasta in the Primera B on Sunday 24 May (17:30 WAT) to face Antofagasta. Antofagasta are 4th with 48 points from 29 games (in the top four), while Deportes Santa Cruz sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Antofagasta's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with San Marcos de Arica 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportes Santa Cruz's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Deportes Temuco 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Antofagasta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Antofagasta and 0.9 for Deportes Santa Cruz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Antofagasta 65%, draw 23%, Deportes Santa Cruz 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Antofagasta to win at 1.64 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Antofagasta 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antofagasta65%fair 1.53 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.65
Deportes Santa Cruz12%fair 8.58 · @4.75
3.00Expected goals
2.15Antofagasta xG
0.85Deportes Santa Cruz xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Antofagasta 2.1 – 0.9 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antofagasta to win✗
65%
1.53
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Antofagasta or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Half-time result
Antofagasta ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antofagasta / FT Antofagasta✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.69
–
Form
Antofagasta – last 6
DWDWLL
17 May
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Deportes Iquique
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs D. Puerto Montt
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6
LLLWLL
19 May
vs Deportes Temuco
2–3
L
19 Apr
vs Union San Felipe
1–3
L
30 Mar
@ San Luis
2–3
L
22 Mar
vs Curico Unido
4–2
W
16 Mar
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antofagasta and Deportes Santa Cruz.
What is the prediction for Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Antofagasta have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportes Santa Cruz 12%.
How many goals will there be in Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Antofagasta 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Antofagasta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
