San Marcos de Arica vs Antofagasta preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees San Marcos de Arica take on Antofagasta on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn. San Marcos de Arica are 6th with 43 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Antofagasta sit 4th on 48 points (in the top four).
Form guide
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Curico Unido 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Antofagasta's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Deportes Iquique 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for San Marcos de Arica and 1.2 for Antofagasta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Marcos de Arica 44%, draw 22%, Antofagasta 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Antofagasta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Marcos de Arica44%fair 2.25 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Antofagasta34%fair 2.97 · @2.88
2.58Expected goals
1.41San Marcos de Arica xG
1.18Antofagasta xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.4 – 1.2 Antofagasta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcos de Arica to win✗
44%
2.25
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcos de Arica / FT San Marcos de Arica✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
DWWDDD
12 May
@ Curico Unido
2–2
D
5 May
vs Recoleta
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
23 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Santiago Wanderers
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Deportes Iquique
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Antofagasta – last 6
WDWLLW
29 Mar
vs Deportes Iquique
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs D. Puerto Montt
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Rangers de Talca
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marcos de Arica and Antofagasta.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Antofagasta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Antofagasta?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Antofagasta 34%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Antofagasta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Antofagasta?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Antofagasta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Antofagasta?
San Marcos de Arica vs Antofagasta (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
