Value bet: D. Puerto Montt to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Luis to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.02
San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt preview and prediction
The match
San Luis host D. Puerto Montt in the Primera B on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). San Luis are 2nd with 54 points from 29 games (in the top four), while D. Puerto Montt sit 11th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Luis's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Union San Felipe 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
D. Puerto Montt's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Magallanes 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for San Luis and 1.3 for D. Puerto Montt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Luis 38%, draw 24%, D. Puerto Montt 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: D. Puerto Montt to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: San Luis 1–1 D. Puerto Montt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Luis38%fair 2.64 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
D. Puerto Montt38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
2.55Expected goals
1.27San Luis xG
1.27D. Puerto Montt xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: San Luis 1.3 – 1.3 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Luis to win✓
38%
2.64
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Luis / FT San Luis✓
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.02
–
Form
San Luis – last 6
WWDDDD
4 May
vs Union San Felipe
4–0
W
30 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3–2
W
23 Mar
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Rangers de Talca
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Curico Unido
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
D. Puerto Montt – last 6
WWLWDL
9 May
vs Magallanes
2–0
W
3 May
@ Rangers de Talca
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Curico Unido
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Deportes Temuco
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Deportes Iquique
0–0
D
21 Mar
@ Union Espanola
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Luis and D. Puerto Montt.
What is the prediction for San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt?
On our numbers San Luis have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and D. Puerto Montt 38%.
How many goals will there be in San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our predicted score is San Luis 1–1 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt?
San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
