Value bet: Magallanes to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultD. Puerto Montt to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.28
D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees D. Puerto Montt take on Magallanes on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue. D. Puerto Montt are 11th with 38 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while Magallanes sit 5th on 46 points (in the top half).
Form guide
D. Puerto Montt's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Rangers de Talca 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Magallanes's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Rangers de Talca 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Magallanes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for D. Puerto Montt and 1.2 for Magallanes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. Puerto Montt 41%, draw 24%, Magallanes 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Magallanes to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: D. Puerto Montt 1–1 Magallanes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. Puerto Montt41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Magallanes35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
2.51Expected goals
1.32D. Puerto Montt xG
1.19Magallanes xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: D. Puerto Montt 1.3 – 1.2 Magallanes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. Puerto Montt to win✓
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. Puerto Montt / FT D. Puerto Montt✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
D. Puerto Montt – last 6
WLWDLW
3 May
@ Rangers de Talca
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Curico Unido
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Deportes Temuco
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Deportes Iquique
0–0
D
21 Mar
@ Union Espanola
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Magallanes – last 5
WDWDW
30 Mar
vs Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
24 Mar
@ Cobreloa
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Union Espanola
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
24 Feb
@ Curico Unido
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between D. Puerto Montt and Magallanes.
What is the prediction for D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes?
On our numbers D. Puerto Montt have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Magallanes 35%.
How many goals will there be in D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes?
Our predicted score is D. Puerto Montt 1–1 Magallanes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes?
D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
