Value bet: Union Espanola to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Espanola to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.57
Union Espanola vs Cobreloa preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Union Espanola take on Cobreloa on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK. Union Espanola are 9th with 39 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while Cobreloa sit 1st on 54 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Espanola's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat D. Puerto Montt 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cobreloa's last 4: DWDW Most recently they drew with Magallanes 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Cobreloa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Union Espanola and 0.9 for Cobreloa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Espanola 63%, draw 14%, Cobreloa 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Union Espanola to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Union Espanola 1–1 Cobreloa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Espanola63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.23 · @3.40
Cobreloa23%fair 4.30 · @3.35
2.75Expected goals
1.82Union Espanola xG
0.93Cobreloa xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Union Espanola 1.8 – 0.9 Cobreloa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Espanola to win✗
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Union Espanola ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Espanola / FT Union Espanola✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
Union Espanola – last 4
WLLL
21 Mar
vs D. Puerto Montt
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Antofagasta
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Magallanes
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Recoleta
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cobreloa – last 4
DWDW
24 Mar
vs Magallanes
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Deportes Iquique
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportes Temuco
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Espanola and Cobreloa.
What is the prediction for Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
On our numbers Union Espanola have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Cobreloa 23%.
How many goals will there be in Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
Our predicted score is Union Espanola 1–1 Cobreloa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
Union Espanola vs Cobreloa (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
