Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.35
7/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion San Felipe to win45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 10.14
Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Union San Felipe take on Curico Unido on Saturday 11 April, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe. Union San Felipe are 15th with 23 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while Curico Unido sit 13th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Union San Felipe's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with San Marcos de Arica 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Curico Unido's last 4: DLDL Most recently they drew with Deportes Copiapo 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Union San Felipe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Union San Felipe and 1.2 for Curico Unido. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union San Felipe 45%, draw 22%, Curico Unido 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Union San Felipe 1–1 Curico Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union San Felipe45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Curico Unido33%fair 2.99 · @3.10
2.70Expected goals
1.47Union San Felipe xG
1.23Curico Unido xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.5 – 1.2 Curico Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union San Felipe to win
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union San Felipe / FT Union San Felipe
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
10.14
–
Form
Union San Felipe – last 4
DLWL
23 Mar
vs San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Recoleta
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Antofagasta
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportes Iquique
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Curico Unido – last 4
DLDL
29 Mar
vs Deportes Copiapo
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
2–4
L
3 Mar
@ San Luis
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Magallanes
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union San Felipe and Curico Unido.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Curico Unido 33%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 Curico Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
