Value bet: D. Puerto Montt to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Iquique to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Iquique host D. Puerto Montt in the Primera B on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tierra de Campeones. Deportes Iquique are 10th with 38 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while D. Puerto Montt sit 11th on 38 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportes Iquique's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Antofagasta 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
D. Puerto Montt's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Union Espanola 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
D. Puerto Montt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Deportes Iquique and 1.3 for D. Puerto Montt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportes Iquique 40%, draw 24%, D. Puerto Montt 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: D. Puerto Montt to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Deportes Iquique 1–1 D. Puerto Montt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Iquique40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
D. Puerto Montt36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
2.62Expected goals
1.36Deportes Iquique xG
1.26D. Puerto Montt xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportes Iquique 1.4 – 1.3 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Iquique to win✗
40%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Iquique / FT Deportes Iquique✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Deportes Iquique – last 5
LLDDW
29 Mar
@ Antofagasta
0–4
L
14 Mar
vs Cobreloa
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs San Marcos de Arica
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Union San Felipe
5–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
D. Puerto Montt – last 4
LWWW
21 Mar
@ Union Espanola
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Antofagasta
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Iquique and D. Puerto Montt.
What is the prediction for Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt?
On our numbers Deportes Iquique have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and D. Puerto Montt 36%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our predicted score is Deportes Iquique 1–1 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt?
Deportes Iquique vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tierra de Campeones.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
