Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta prediction & analysis
70%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Deportes Copiapo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Copiapo to win63% · @1.91
Double chanceDeportes Copiapo or draw84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.79
Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
Recoleta travel to Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla in the Primera B on Sunday 12 April (17:30 WAT) to face Deportes Copiapo. Deportes Copiapo are 8th with 41 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Recoleta sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportes Copiapo's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Curico Unido 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Recoleta's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Deportes Temuco 1–5 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Recoleta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Deportes Copiapo and 0.8 for Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Safer route: Deportes Copiapo or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Deportes Copiapo to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Deportes Copiapo 2–0 Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Copiapo63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.10
Recoleta16%fair 6.32 · @3.80
2.68Expected goals
1.87Deportes Copiapo xG
0.81Recoleta xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportes Copiapo 1.9 – 0.8 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Copiapo to win
63%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Deportes Copiapo or draw
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.18
Half-time result
Deportes Copiapo ahead at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Copiapo / FT Deportes Copiapo
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.79
–
Form
Deportes Copiapo – last 5
DDDWL
29 Mar
@ Curico Unido
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ San Luis
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Rangers de Talca
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Recoleta – last 4
LWWW
27 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–5
L
13 Mar
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Copiapo and Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Deportes Copiapo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Recoleta 16%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Deportes Copiapo 2–0 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta?
Deportes Copiapo vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
