Value bet: Recoleta to win @ 3.00 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRecoleta to win ✓41% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.76
Santiago Wanderers vs Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Santiago Wanderers take on Recoleta on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Santiago Wanderers are 3rd with 50 points from 29 games (in the top four), while Recoleta sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Santiago Wanderers and 1.4 for Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santiago Wanderers 35%, draw 24%, Recoleta 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Recoleta to win at 3.00 – 41% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Santiago Wanderers 1–1 Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santiago Wanderers35%fair 2.87 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Recoleta41%fair 2.43 · @3.00
2.59Expected goals
1.23Santiago Wanderers xG
1.36Recoleta xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Santiago Wanderers 1.2 – 1.4 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recoleta to win✓
41%
2.43
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.29
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recoleta / FT Recoleta✓
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.76
–
Form
Santiago Wanderers
No recent results on record.
Recoleta
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santiago Wanderers and Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers vs Recoleta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Santiago Wanderers vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Santiago Wanderers have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Recoleta 41%.
How many goals will there be in Santiago Wanderers vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santiago Wanderers vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Santiago Wanderers 1–1 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santiago Wanderers vs Recoleta?
Santiago Wanderers vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
