San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Santa Cruz travel to Estadio Carlos Dittborn in the Primera B on Saturday 21 February (00:00 WAT) to face San Marcos de Arica. San Marcos de Arica are 6th with 43 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Deportes Santa Cruz sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for San Marcos de Arica and 0.8 for Deportes Santa Cruz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Marcos de Arica 57%, draw 21%, Deportes Santa Cruz 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Deportes Santa Cruz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Marcos de Arica57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.20
Deportes Santa Cruz22%fair 4.48 · @4.20
2.43Expected goals
1.58San Marcos de Arica xG
0.84Deportes Santa Cruz xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.6 – 0.8 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcos de Arica to win✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.23
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcos de Arica / FT San Marcos de Arica✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.15
–
Form
San Marcos de Arica
No recent results on record.
Deportes Santa Cruz
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marcos de Arica and Deportes Santa Cruz.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportes Santa Cruz 22%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–0 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
