Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarlskrona to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceKarlskrona or draw ✓87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.04
Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona preview and prediction
The match
Lilla Torg host Karlskrona in the Division 2 Östra Götaland on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Lilla Torg are 10th with 32 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Karlskrona sit 1st on 63 points (top of the table). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lilla Torg's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with Staffanstorp United 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Karlskrona's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Torns 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Karlskrona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Lilla Torg and 2.3 for Karlskrona. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Karlskrona to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lilla Torg 0–2 Karlskrona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lilla Torg13%fair 7.93 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.10
Karlskrona68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
3.13Expected goals
0.88Lilla Torg xG
2.25Karlskrona xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Lilla Torg 0.9 – 2.3 Karlskrona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karlskrona to win✓
68%
1.47
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Karlskrona or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Half-time result
Karlskrona ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karlskrona / FT Karlskrona✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.04
–
Form
Lilla Torg – last 4
DLDW
8 Aug
@ Staffanstorp United
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Oskarshamns AIK
2–3
L
25 Jul
@ Kristianstad
2–2
D
24 Jun
vs Torns
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Karlskrona – last 6
WWWWWL
8 Aug
vs Torns
5–0
W
30 Jul
vs Nosaby
5–1
W
27 Jun
@ Österlen
3–0
W
18 Jun
vs Karlshamn
3–1
W
14 Jun
@ Linero
4–2
W
10 Jun
@ Football Primetime
0–1
L
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lilla Torg and Karlskrona.
What is the prediction for Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?
Our pick is Karlskrona to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?
On our numbers Lilla Torg have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karlskrona 68%.
How many goals will there be in Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?
Our predicted score is Lilla Torg 0–2 Karlskrona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona?
Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
