Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Berga to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBerga to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Torns vs Berga preview and prediction
The match
Berga travel to face Torns in the Division 2 Östra Götaland on Saturday 15 August (13:00 WAT). Torns are 12th with 21 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Berga sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Torns's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Karlskrona 0–5 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Berga's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Räppe 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Berga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Berga 4–1 Torns.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.3 for Torns and 2.1 for Berga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torns 25%, draw 17%, Berga 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Berga to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Torns 1–2 Berga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torns25%fair 3.93 · @3.10
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @3.80
Berga58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
3.45Expected goals
1.32Torns xG
2.13Berga xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Torns 1.3 – 2.1 Berga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Torns vs Berga?
On our numbers Torns have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Berga 58%.
How many goals will there be in Torns vs Berga?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torns vs Berga?
Our predicted score is Torns 1–2 Berga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Torns vs Berga?
Torns vs Berga (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
