Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Vänersborgs FK to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVänersborgs FK to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund preview and prediction
The match
Stenungsund travel to face Vänersborgs FK in the Division 2 Norra Götaland on Thursday 18 June (18:15 WAT). Vänersborgs FK are 9th with 32 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Stenungsund sit 6th on 39 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Vänersborgs FK's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Husqvarna 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Stenungsund's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Ahlafors 0–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Stenungsund arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.9 for Vänersborgs FK and 1.2 for Stenungsund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vänersborgs FK 57%, draw 17%, Stenungsund 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Vänersborgs FK to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Vänersborgs FK 1–1 Stenungsund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vänersborgs FK57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @3.70
Stenungsund26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
3.14Expected goals
1.95Vänersborgs FK xG
1.19Stenungsund xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Vänersborgs FK 1.9 – 1.2 Stenungsund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vänersborgs FK to win✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.57
Half-time result
Vänersborgs FK ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vänersborgs FK / FT Vänersborgs FK✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Vänersborgs FK – last 6
LLLDLW
14 Jun
@ Husqvarna
1–3
L
5 Jun
vs Skara
1–3
L
29 May
vs Grebbestad
2–3
L
10 May
@ Tord
2–2
D
1 May
vs Vänersborgs IF
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs Lidköping
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stenungsund – last 6
LWLWDL
12 Jun
vs Ahlafors
0–4
L
4 Jun
vs Vänersborgs IF
5–0
W
31 May
@ Husqvarna
1–3
L
23 May
vs Lidköping
6–0
W
17 May
vs Motala
1–1
D
8 May
@ Herrestads
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vänersborgs FK and Stenungsund.
What is the prediction for Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
On our numbers Vänersborgs FK have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Stenungsund 26%.
How many goals will there be in Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
Our predicted score is Vänersborgs FK 1–1 Stenungsund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?
Vänersborgs FK vs Stenungsund (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
